Brandon Moreno vs Charles Johnson

Dec 12, 2026 · Paramount+

Combat Edge model forecast64%Brandon Moreno36%Charles JohnsonFull forecast and your pick

DateDec 12, 2026

DivisionFlyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueT-Mobile Arena

BroadcastParamount+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, December 12, 2026 — watch on Paramount+.

US East (ET): Sat 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 1:00 PM
Your time

Brandon MorenoThe Assassin Baby |24-10-2Brandon Moreno vs Charles JohnsonCharles JohnsonInnerG |20-9-0

Brandon MorenoThe Assassin Baby24-10-2

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

24-10-2Record20-9-0

32Age35

5'7"Height5'9"

70"Reach70"

125 lbsWeight125 lbs

FlyweightWeight ClassFlyweight

Charles JohnsonInnerG20-9-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Brandon Moreno owns a 50-point Elo edge (great). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Brandon Moreno and Charles Johnson across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Brandon MorenoCharles Johnson

Recent form

Brandon MorenoW L L W W · 0 Elo last 5

WLLWW

Charles JohnsonW L W L W · +15 Elo last 5

WLWLW

Elo edge

Brandon Moreno1757+9 last move

Charles Johnson1707+14 last move

Why they are ranked here

Brandon Moreno#8 of 221 active Flyweight fighters · 1757 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Deiveson Figueiredo (rated 1797 at the time): +16.
Costliest loss: Lost to Lone’er Kavanagh (rated 1670 at the time): -15.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, 0 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #7 Sergio Pettis, 1 ahead of #9 Rei Tsuruya.

Charles Johnson#3 of 91 active Catchweight fighters · 1707 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Joshua Van (rated 1701 at the time): +21.
Costliest loss: Lost to Ramazan Temirov (rated 1714 at the time): -16.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +15 Elo in total.
Next places: 5 points behind #2 Nkosi Ndebele, 4 ahead of #4 Tommy Morrisson.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

64%Brandon Moreno36%Charles Johnson

Model favoriteBrandon Moreno

Elo baseline57% for Brandon Moreno

Matchup adjustment+7 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Brandon MorenoStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Brandon Moreno leads the full model at 64%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 7 points.

Current Elo ratings1757 · 1707Brandon Moreno leads by 50 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1732 · 1694Brandon Moreno faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth34 · 29 fightsBrandon Moreno has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesBrandon Moreno 2 · 2 Charles JohnsonStrongest available gap: Takedown accuracy toward Brandon Moreno.

What's at stake

Brandon MorenoNow 1757 · #8 Flyweight

Wins by decision+10→ 1767

Loses by decision-14→ 1743

Charles JohnsonNow 1707 · #3 Catchweight

Wins by decision+14→ 1721

Loses by decision-10→ 1697

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Brandon MorenovsCharles Johnson

Takedown accuracy

15%vs0%

Takedown average

1.39vs0.44

Sig. strikes landed per min

3.86vs4.60

Sig. strike accuracy

44%vs50%

Finishing profile

Brandon Morenosubmission leads 46% of wins

Charles JohnsonKO/TKO leads 40% of wins

Common opponents

Asu AlmabayevBrandon Moreno: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Feb 28, 2026Charles Johnson: loss · Submission (Suloev stretch) · Jun 27, 2026

Alex Perez Brandon Moreno: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Nov 21, 2020 Charles Johnson: loss · TKO (punches) · Jan 24, 2026

Lone’er Kavanagh Brandon Moreno: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Feb 28, 2026 Charles Johnson: win · KO (punch) · Aug 23, 2025

Tale of the tape

Brandon MorenoCharles Johnson

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.86Sig. strikes landed per min4.60

UFC flyweight average : 3.96

44Sig. strike accuracy50

UFC flyweight average : 44%

3.69Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.93

UFC flyweight average : 3.87

60Sig. strike defense56

UFC flyweight average : 55%

1.39Takedown average0.44

UFC flyweight average : 1.44

15Takedown accuracy0

UFC flyweight average : 26%

67Takedown defense67

UFC flyweight average : 57%

0.38Submission average0.44

UFC flyweight average : 0.60

5Wins by knockout8

11Wins by submission4

8Wins by decision8

1Losses by knockout1

0Losses by submission1

9Losses by decision7

Brandon Moreno vs Charles Johnson is a scheduled Flyweight fight on UFC 335 : OLIVEIRA VS LOPES. Brandon Moreno enters with a 24-10-2 record and Charles Johnson enters with a 20-9-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.