Caio Borralho vs Yousri Belgaroui
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-2-0Record11-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'5"
75"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight190 lbs
The Fighting Nerds· 1702 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness· 1650 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Caio Borralho is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Yousri Belgaroui carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1800
If they lose-21→ 1768
If they win+21→ 1687
If they lose-11→ 1655
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Caio BorralhoYousri Belgaroui
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Caio Borralho76%
Yousri Belgaroui 24%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Caio Borralho a 76% favorite over Yousri Belgaroui in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Caio Borralho holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1789 to 1666, a 123-point edge.
Yousri Belgaroui enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Caio Borralho finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Yousri Belgaroui 82%.
Yousri Belgaroui carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.