Carli Judice vs Yuneisy Duben
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record6-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'4"
68"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Headkicks MMATeamTeam Ludus
What's at stake
Carli Judice is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Yuneisy Duben carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1645
If they lose-26→ 1597
If they win+26→ 1620
If they lose-22→ 1572
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carli JudiceYuneisy Duben
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carli Judice56%
Yuneisy Duben 44%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Carli Judice a 56% favorite over Yuneisy Duben in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Carli Judice holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1623 to 1594, a 29-point edge.
Carli Judice enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Yuneisy Duben enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Carli Judice finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Yuneisy Duben 100%.
Carli Judice carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.