Combat Edge Intelligence

Chase Hooper vs Jim Miller

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jim Miller
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Jim Miller

“A-10”

39-19-0LightweightUFC

1720Good

Tale of the tape

16-5-1Record39-19-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'8"
74"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Combat Sport & FitnessTeamSussex County MMA

What's at stake

Jim Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Chase Hooper carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chase HooperNow 1691
If they win+17→ 1708
If they lose-15→ 1676
Jim MillerNow 1720
If they win+11→ 1731
If they lose-13→ 1707

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.50
Sig. strikes / min
2.92
49%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.44
40%
Strike defense
57%
2.43
Takedown avg.
1.50
2%
Takedown accuracy
45%
55%
Takedown defense
49%
2.08
Submission avg.
1.70

Trajectory

Chase HooperJim Miller
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
7 (18%)
8 (50%)
Submission
22 (56%)
4 (25%)
Decision
10 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Chase Hooper and Jim Miller within a point of even.

Jim Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1691, a 29-point edge.

Chase Hooper enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chase Hooper finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Jim Miller 74%.

Chase Hooper and Jim Miller share 1 common opponent: Alexander Hernandez.

Chase Hooper carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossTKO · 2025
Alexander Hernandez
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023