Cynthia Calvillo vs Joanne Wood
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-1Record17-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'6"
64"Reach65"
119 lbsWeight125 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
Joanne Wood is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Cynthia Calvillo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1608
If they lose-13→ 1576
If they win+10→ 1666
If they lose-14→ 1642
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cynthia CalvilloJoanne Wood
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joanne Wood68%
Cynthia Calvillo 32%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Joanne Wood a 68% favorite over Cynthia Calvillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Joanne Wood holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1656 to 1589, a 67-point edge.
Joanne Wood enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Cynthia Calvillo finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Joanne Wood 35%.
Cynthia Calvillo and Joanne Wood share 3 common opponents: Andrea Lee, Katlyn Cerminara and Jessica Eye.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.