Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Ige vs Josh Emmett

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Ige
us

Dan Ige

“50K”

19-11-0WelterweightUFC

1695Good

Tale of the tape

19-11-0Record19-7-0
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'6"
71''Reach70"
165 lbsWeight145 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

Josh Emmett is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Dan Ige carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dan IgeNow 1695
If they win+13→ 1708
If they lose-11→ 1684
Josh EmmettNow 1712
If they win+11→ 1723
If they lose-13→ 1699

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1733 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1753 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.64
Sig. strikes / min
3.72
45%
Strike accuracy
36%
3.56
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.43
56%
Strike defense
60%
0.89
Takedown avg.
1.08
26%
Takedown accuracy
38%
57%
Takedown defense
44%
0.22
Submission avg.
0.07

Trajectory

Dan IgeJosh Emmett
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (37%)
KO/TKO
7 (37%)
5 (26%)
Submission
2 (11%)
7 (37%)
Decision
10 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Dan Ige60%
Josh Emmett 40%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Dan Ige a 60% favorite over Josh Emmett in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Emmett's way (48%).

Josh Emmett holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1712 to 1695, a 17-point edge.

Dan Ige enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Josh Emmett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dan Ige finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Josh Emmett 47%.

Dan Ige and Josh Emmett share 2 common opponents: Lerone Murphy and Bryce Mitchell.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2024
Lerone Murphy
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Bryce Mitchell
WinKO/TKO · 2023