Daniil Donchenko vs Punahele Soriano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-2-0Record13-5-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
71"Reach 72"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Daniil Donchenko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Punahele Soriano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1739
If they lose-17→ 1707
If they win+17→ 1712
If they lose-15→ 1680
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1670 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Daniil DonchenkoPunahele Soriano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Punahele Soriano54%
Daniil Donchenko 46%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Punahele Soriano a 54% favorite over Daniil Donchenko in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniil Donchenko's way (46%).
Daniil Donchenko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1695, a 29-point edge.
Daniil Donchenko enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Daniil Donchenko finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Punahele Soriano 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.