Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniil Donchenko vs Punahele Soriano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-2-0 Record 13-4-0
Lightweight Division Welterweight
5'11" Height 6'0"
71" Reach 72"
155 lbs Weight 170 lbs
Tiger Muay Thai Team Xtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniil DonchenkoNow 1711
If they win+16→ 1727
If they lose-16→ 1695
Punahele SorianoNow 1711
If they win+16→ 1727
If they lose-16→ 1695

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Tracked stat edges

7.15
Sig. strikes / min
4.66
60%
Strike accuracy
55%
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min Lower is better
3.42
73%
Strike defense
48%
0.77
Takedown avg.
1.83
33%
Takedown accuracy
48%
75%
Takedown defense
40%
0
Submission avg.
0.14

Trajectory

Daniil Donchenko Punahele Soriano
1600 1650 1700 2024 2025 2026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
7 (54%)
2 (14%)
Submission
2 (15%)
3 (21%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniil Donchenko71%
Punahele Soriano29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniil Donchenko a 71% favorite over Punahele Soriano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1711 vs 1711), separated by just 0 points.

Daniil Donchenko enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Punahele Soriano enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Daniil Donchenko finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Punahele Soriano 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.