UFC FIGHT NIGHT : HOOKER VS PARNASSE

Daniil Donchenko vs Punahele Soriano

EventUFC FIGHT NIGHT : HOOKER VS PARNASSE
DateSep 5, 2026
DivisionWelterweight
StatusScheduled
VenueAccor Arena
BroadcastPARAMOUNT+
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, September 5, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET)
Sat 3:00 PM
US West (PT)
Sat 12:00 PM
United Kingdom
Sat 8:00 PM
Central Europe
Sat 9:00 PM
Australia (Sydney)
Sun 5:00 AM

Daniil Donchenko vs Punahele Soriano is a scheduled Welterweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : HOOKER VS PARNASSE. Daniil Donchenko enters with a 14-2-0 record and Punahele Soriano enters with a 13-4-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Daniil Donchenko vs Punahele Soriano quick answers

When is Daniil Donchenko vs Punahele Soriano?

Daniil Donchenko vs Punahele Soriano is listed for UFC FIGHT NIGHT : HOOKER VS PARNASSE on Sep 5, 2026 at 3:00 PM EST.

What event is Daniil Donchenko vs Punahele Soriano on?

Daniil Donchenko vs Punahele Soriano is listed on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : HOOKER VS PARNASSE.

What are the records for Daniil Donchenko vs Punahele Soriano?

Daniil Donchenko enters with a 14-2-0 record and Punahele Soriano enters with a 13-4-0 record.

What division is Daniil Donchenko vs Punahele Soriano?

Daniil Donchenko vs Punahele Soriano is listed as a Welterweight fight.

Daniil Donchenko14-2-0Daniil Donchenko vs Punahele SorianoPunahele SorianoStory Time |13-4-0
uaDaniil Donchenko14-2-0Daniil Donchenkoua

Fight Overview

Round3
Time5:00
14-2-0Record13-4-0
25Age33
5'11"Height6'0"
71"Reach 72"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
WelterweightWeight ClassWelterweight
usPunahele SorianoStory Time13-4-0usPunahele Soriano
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

The Elo matchup is close or still provisional. Daniil Donchenko shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Daniil Donchenko and Punahele Soriano across their careers →

Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Daniil DonchenkoPunahele Soriano
160016501700202420252026

Recent form

Daniil DonchenkoW W W W W · +74 Elo last 5
WWWWW
Punahele SorianoW W W W L · +44 Elo last 5
WWWWL

Elo edge

Daniil Donchenko1711+14 last move
Punahele Soriano1711+14 last move
Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28
62%Daniil Donchenko38%Punahele Soriano
Model favoriteDaniil Donchenko
Elo baseline50% for Daniil Donchenko
Matchup adjustment+12 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

Sponsored — betting partner link. 19+ (18+ where permitted). Please play responsibly.

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model breaks Elo tie

Elo alone has this matchup at 50/50. The full matchup model separates the fighters and leans Daniil Donchenko at 62%.

Current Elo ratings1711 · 1711The fighters have the same published Elo rating.
Recent opponent quality1553 · 1668Punahele Soriano faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).
Elo record depth16 · 17 fightsPunahele Soriano has the deeper counted Elo history.
Largest tracked stat edgesDaniil Donchenko 3 · 1 Punahele SorianoStrongest available gap: Takedown accuracy toward Daniil Donchenko.

Stat advantages

Daniil DonchenkovsPunahele Soriano
Takedown accuracy
33%vs0%
Takedown average
0.58vs1.97
Sig. strikes landed per min
8.07vs4.42
Takedown defense
75%vs49%

Finishing profile

Daniil DonchenkoKO/TKO leads 64% of wins
Punahele SorianoKO/TKO leads 54% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Daniil DonchenkoPunahele Soriano
8.07Sig. strikes landed per min4.42
UFC lightweight average : 3.83
62Sig. strike accuracy54
UFC lightweight average : 46%
2.80Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.31
UFC lightweight average : 3.91
70Sig. strike defense47
UFC lightweight average : 54%
0.58Takedown average1.97
UFC lightweight average : 1.69
33Takedown accuracy0
UFC lightweight average : 30%
75Takedown defense49
UFC lightweight average : 58%
0Submission average0.12
UFC lightweight average : 0.52
9Wins by knockout7
2Wins by submission2
3Wins by decision4
0Losses by knockout1
0Losses by submission1
2Losses by decision2

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