Dione Barbosa vs Veronica Hardy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record10-5-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'3"
66"Reach64"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Kings MMA· 1672 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamMMA Factory
What's at stake
Dione Barbosa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Veronica Hardy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1648
If they lose-18→ 1616
If they win+18→ 1609
If they lose-14→ 1577
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dione BarbosaVeronica Hardy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dione Barbosa66%
Veronica Hardy 34%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Dione Barbosa a 66% favorite over Veronica Hardy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Dione Barbosa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1634 to 1591, a 43-point edge.
Dione Barbosa enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Dione Barbosa finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Veronica Hardy 30%.
Dione Barbosa carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.