Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Stoltzfus vs Kelvin Gastelum

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Combat Edge model read

Kelvin Gastelum71%
Dustin Stoltzfus29%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Kelvin Gastelum a 71% favorite over Dustin Stoltzfus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Kelvin Gastelum holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1637, a 56-point edge.

Dustin Stoltzfus enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dustin Stoltzfus finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Kelvin Gastelum 55%.

Dustin Stoltzfus carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Tale of the tape

16-8-0 Record 20-11-0
Middleweight Division Middleweight
5'11" Height 5'9"
75" Reach 71"
185 lbs Weight 185 lbs
Frankers Fight Team Team Fight Ready

Tracked stat edges

3.14
Sig. strikes / min
3.67
45%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.14
Strikes absorbed / min Lower is better
3.53
47%
Strike defense
57%
2.26
Takedown avg.
1.01
41%
Takedown accuracy
34%
47%
Takedown defense
60%
1.29
Submission avg.
0.09

Trajectory

Dustin Stoltzfus Kelvin Gastelum
1650 1700 2024 2025 2026

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
6 (30%)
6 (40%)
Submission
5 (25%)
6 (40%)
Decision
9 (45%)