Erin Blanchfield vs Weili Zhang
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record26-4-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'4"
66"Reach63"
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
Renzo Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamFight Ready
What's at stake
Weili Zhang is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Erin Blanchfield carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1785
If they lose-14→ 1753
If they win+11→ 1811
If they lose-13→ 1787
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Erin BlanchfieldWeili Zhang
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Erin Blanchfield66%
Weili Zhang 34%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Erin Blanchfield a 66% favorite over Weili Zhang in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Weili Zhang's way (45%).
Weili Zhang holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1800 to 1767, a 33-point edge.
Erin Blanchfield enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Erin Blanchfield finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Weili Zhang 73%.
Erin Blanchfield and Weili Zhang share 2 common opponents: Rose Namajunas and Jéssica Andrade.
Erin Blanchfield carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.