Combat Edge Intelligence

Gregory Rodrigues vs Shara Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record17-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'2"
75"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamGOR MMA· 1738 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gregory RodriguesNow 1777
If they win+12→ 1789
If they lose-12→ 1765
Shara MagomedovNow 1764
If they win+17→ 1781
If they lose-15→ 1749

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1709 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.53
Sig. strikes / min
5.93
52%
Strike accuracy
63%
4.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.85
51%
Strike defense
44%
1.90
Takedown avg.
0
16%
Takedown accuracy
0%
75%
Takedown defense
71%
0.38
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gregory RodriguesShara Magomedov
1700175020252026

Win method breakdown

12 (60%)
KO/TKO
12 (71%)
3 (15%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (25%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Gregory Rodrigues71%
Shara Magomedov 29%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Gregory Rodrigues a 71% favorite over Shara Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1777 vs 1764), separated by just 13 points.

Gregory Rodrigues enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Shara Magomedov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Gregory Rodrigues finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Shara Magomedov 71%.

Gregory Rodrigues carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.