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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ihor Potieria vs Marco Tulio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marco Tulio
br

Marco Tulio

“Matuto”

14-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1672Good

Tale of the tape

21-8-0Record14-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
75"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Standard ProTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ihor PotieriaNow 1664
If they win+12→ 1676
If they lose-12→ 1652
Marco TulioNow 1672
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1645 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.44
Sig. strikes / min
6.69
50%
Strike accuracy
59%
4.96
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.58
51%
Strike defense
60%
0.73
Takedown avg.
1.42
0%
Takedown accuracy
27%
67%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Ihor PotieriaMarco Tulio
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (43%)
KO/TKO
10 (71%)
7 (33%)
Submission
1 (7%)
5 (24%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Ihor Potieria64%
Marco Tulio 36%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Ihor Potieria a 64% favorite over Marco Tulio in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marco Tulio's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1672), separated by just 8 points.

Marco Tulio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ihor Potieria finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Marco Tulio 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.