Combat Edge Intelligence

Ihor Potieria vs Marco Tulio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marco Tulio
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Marco Tulio

“Matuto”

14-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1672Good

Tale of the tape

21-8-0Record14-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
75"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Standard ProTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

Marco Tulio is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Ihor Potieria carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ihor PotieriaNow 1639
If they win+13→ 1652
If they lose-11→ 1628
Marco TulioNow 1672
If they win+14→ 1686
If they lose-18→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.44
Sig. strikes / min
6.69
50%
Strike accuracy
59%
4.96
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.58
51%
Strike defense
60%
0.73
Takedown avg.
1.42
0%
Takedown accuracy
27%
67%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Ihor PotieriaMarco Tulio
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (43%)
KO/TKO
10 (71%)
7 (33%)
Submission
1 (7%)
5 (24%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Marco Tulio67%
Ihor Potieria 33%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Marco Tulio a 67% favorite over Ihor Potieria in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Marco Tulio holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1672 to 1639, a 33-point edge.

Ihor Potieria enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Marco Tulio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ihor Potieria finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Marco Tulio 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.