Ilia Topuria vs Josh Emmett
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-1-0Record19-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'6"
69"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Climent Club· 1711 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated
What's at stake
Ilia Topuria is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Josh Emmett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1840
If they lose-21→ 1808
If they win+16→ 1728
If they lose-8→ 1704
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1758 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1754 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ilia TopuriaJosh Emmett
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ilia Topuria88%
Josh Emmett 12%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Ilia Topuria a 88% favorite over Josh Emmett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Ilia Topuria holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1829 to 1712, a 117-point edge.
Josh Emmett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ilia Topuria finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Josh Emmett 47%.
Ilia Topuria and Josh Emmett share 2 common opponents: Bryce Mitchell and Youssef Zalal.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.