Ion Cutelaba vs Philipe Lins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-12-1Record18-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
75"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Timoshkov Sport ClubTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Philipe Lins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Ion Cutelaba carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1654
If they lose-11→ 1630
If they win+14→ 1697
If they lose-18→ 1665
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1678 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1665 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ion CutelabaPhilipe Lins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Philipe Lins52%
Ion Cutelaba 48%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Philipe Lins a 52% favorite over Ion Cutelaba in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Philipe Lins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1683 to 1641, a 42-point edge.
Ion Cutelaba finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Philipe Lins 72%.
Ion Cutelaba and Philipe Lins share 1 common opponent: Tanner Boser.
Philipe Lins carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.