Ismail Naurdiev vs Marvin Vettori
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-8-0Record19-10-1
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Top Team SalzburgTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Marvin Vettori is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ismail Naurdiev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1679
If they lose-11→ 1655
If they win+11→ 1699
If they lose-13→ 1675
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1589 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1753 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ismail NaurdievMarvin Vettori
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marvin Vettori60%
Ismail Naurdiev 40%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Marvin Vettori a 60% favorite over Ismail Naurdiev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Marvin Vettori holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1688 to 1666, a 22-point edge.
Marvin Vettori enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Ismail Naurdiev finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Marvin Vettori 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.