Marvin Vettori vs Ismail Naurdiev

DateOct 3, 2026

DivisionMiddleweight

StatusScheduled

VenueDelta Center

BroadcastNetwork TBD

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 3, 2026.

US East (ET): Sat 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 12:00 PM
Your time

Marvin VettoriThe Italian Dream |19-10-1Marvin Vettori vs Ismail NaurdievIsmail NaurdievThe Austrian Wonderboy |25-8-0

Marvin VettoriThe Italian Dream19-10-1

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

19-10-1Record25-8-0

32Age30

6'0"Height6'0"

74"Reach74"

185 lbsWeight170 lbs

MiddleweightWeight ClassMiddleweight

Ismail NaurdievThe Austrian Wonderboy25-8-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Marvin Vettori owns a 19-point Elo edge (good). Marvin Vettori shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Marvin Vettori and Ismail Naurdiev across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Marvin VettoriIsmail Naurdiev

Recent form

Marvin VettoriL L L L W · -30 Elo last 5

LLLLW

Ismail NaurdievW L W W L · +4 Elo last 5

WLWWL

Elo edge

Marvin Vettori1688-10 last move

Ismail Naurdiev1669+13 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

48%Marvin Vettori52%Ismail Naurdiev

Model favoriteIsmail Naurdiev

Elo baseline47% for Ismail Naurdiev

Matchup adjustment+5 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Ismail NaurdievStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Ismail Naurdiev is 52%, after Elo alone favored Marvin Vettori at 53%.

Current Elo ratings1688 · 1669Marvin Vettori leads by 19 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1753 · 1600Marvin Vettori faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth31 · 26 fightsMarvin Vettori has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesMarvin Vettori 3 · 1 Ismail NaurdievStrongest available gap: Takedown accuracy toward Marvin Vettori.

Stat advantages

Marvin VettorivsIsmail Naurdiev

Takedown accuracy

11%vs0%

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

4.55vs1.75

Submission average

0.39vs0.16

Sig. strikes landed per min

4.74vs3.66

Finishing profile

Marvin Vettorisubmission leads 47% of wins

Ismail NaurdievKO/TKO leads 52% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Marvin VettoriIsmail Naurdiev

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.74Sig. strikes landed per min3.66

UFC middleweight average : 3.76

46Sig. strike accuracy53

UFC middleweight average : 48%

4.55Sig. strikes absorbed per min1.75

UFC middleweight average : 3.80

56Sig. strike defense65

UFC middleweight average : 52%

1.41Takedown average1.48

UFC middleweight average : 1.70

11Takedown accuracy0

UFC middleweight average : 32%

69Takedown defense73

UFC middleweight average : 58%

0.39Submission average0.16

UFC middleweight average : 0.63

2Wins by knockout13

9Wins by submission6

8Wins by decision6

0Losses by knockout2

0Losses by submission2

10Losses by decision4

Marvin Vettori vs Ismail Naurdiev is a scheduled Middleweight fight on UFC 332 : SILVA VS WANG. Marvin Vettori enters with a 19-10-1 record and Ismail Naurdiev enters with a 25-8-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.