Israel Adesanya vs Jared Cannonier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
24-6-0Record18-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'0"
80"Reach 77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
City KickboxingTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Israel Adesanya is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jared Cannonier carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1771
If they lose-14→ 1747
If they win+18→ 1725
If they lose-14→ 1693
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1743 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1758 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Israel AdesanyaJared Cannonier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Israel Adesanya70%
Jared Cannonier 30%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Israel Adesanya a 70% favorite over Jared Cannonier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Israel Adesanya holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1761 to 1707, a 54-point edge.
Israel Adesanya enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Israel Adesanya finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jared Cannonier 72%.
Israel Adesanya and Jared Cannonier share 4 common opponents: Nassourdine Imavov, Sean Strickland, Robert Whittaker and Marvin Vettori.
Israel Adesanya carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.