Israel Adesanya vs Shara Magomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-6-0Record17-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'2"
80"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
City KickboxingTeamGOR MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1773
If they lose-12→ 1749
If they win+16→ 1781
If they lose-16→ 1749
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1743 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Israel AdesanyaShara Magomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shara Magomedov64%
Israel Adesanya 36%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Shara Magomedov a 64% favorite over Israel Adesanya in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1761 vs 1765), separated by just 4 points.
Israel Adesanya enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Shara Magomedov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Israel Adesanya finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Shara Magomedov 71%.
Israel Adesanya carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.