Jamie Mullarkey vs John Makdessi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record18-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
74"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Bangtao Muay Thai & MMATeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
John Makdessi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jamie Mullarkey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1644
If they lose-11→ 1620
If they win+15→ 1661
If they lose-17→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jamie MullarkeyJohn Makdessi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jamie Mullarkey63%
John Makdessi 37%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Jamie Mullarkey a 63% favorite over John Makdessi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Makdessi's way (48%).
John Makdessi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1646 to 1631, a 15-point edge.
John Makdessi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jamie Mullarkey finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, John Makdessi 50%.
Jamie Mullarkey and John Makdessi share 1 common opponent: Nasrat Haqparast.
Jamie Mullarkey carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.