Jared Cannonier vs Marvin Vettori
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-10-0Record19-10-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
77"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA LabTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677
If they win+12→ 1700
If they lose-12→ 1676
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1762 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1753 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jared CannonierMarvin Vettori
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jared Cannonier60%
Marvin Vettori 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Jared Cannonier a 60% favorite over Marvin Vettori in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1693 vs 1688), separated by just 5 points.
Jared Cannonier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marvin Vettori enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jared Cannonier finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Marvin Vettori 58%.
Jared Cannonier and Marvin Vettori share 1 common opponent: Israel Adesanya.
Jared Cannonier carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.