Jared Cannonier vs Marvin Vettori
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record19-10-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
77"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA LabTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Jared Cannonier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Marvin Vettori carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1722
If they lose-17→ 1690
If they win+13→ 1701
If they lose-11→ 1677
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1758 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1753 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jared CannonierMarvin Vettori
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marvin Vettori60%
Jared Cannonier 40%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Marvin Vettori a 60% favorite over Jared Cannonier in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jared Cannonier's way (47%).
Jared Cannonier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1688, a 19-point edge.
Marvin Vettori enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jared Cannonier finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Marvin Vettori 58%.
Jared Cannonier and Marvin Vettori share 2 common opponents: Israel Adesanya and Robert Whittaker.
Jared Cannonier carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.