Jared Cannonier vs Robert Whittaker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record27-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
77"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
MMA LabTeamPMA Super Martial Arts
What's at stake
Robert Whittaker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jared Cannonier carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1725
If they lose-14→ 1693
If they win+10→ 1762
If they lose-14→ 1738
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1758 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1752 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jared CannonierRobert Whittaker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Robert Whittaker83%
Jared Cannonier 17%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Robert Whittaker a 83% favorite over Jared Cannonier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Robert Whittaker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1752 to 1707, a 45-point edge.
Jared Cannonier finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Robert Whittaker 59%.
Jared Cannonier and Robert Whittaker share 3 common opponents: Marvin Vettori, Israel Adesanya and Kelvin Gastelum.
Jared Cannonier carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.