Combat Edge Intelligence

Jim Miller vs Terrance McKinney

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jim Miller
us

Jim Miller

“A-10”

39-19-0LightweightUFC

1720Good

Tale of the tape

39-19-0Record18-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
71"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

Jim Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Terrance McKinney carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jim MillerNow 1720
If they win+10→ 1730
If they lose-14→ 1706
Terrance McKinneyNow 1662
If they win+14→ 1676
If they lose-10→ 1652

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1681 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1671 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.92
Sig. strikes / min
6.83
42%
Strike accuracy
56%
3.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.07
57%
Strike defense
43%
1.49
Takedown avg.
3.27
36%
Takedown accuracy
0%
48%
Takedown defense
73%
1.72
Submission avg.
1.82

Trajectory

Jim MillerTerrance McKinney
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (18%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
22 (56%)
Submission
9 (50%)
10 (26%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jim Miller55%
Terrance McKinney 45%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Jim Miller a 55% favorite over Terrance McKinney in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Jim Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1662, a 58-point edge.

Jim Miller finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Terrance McKinney 100%.

Jim Miller and Terrance McKinney share 1 common opponent: King Green.

Terrance McKinney carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision - Unanimous · 2024
King Green
LossTKO · 2026