Jim Miller vs Terrance McKinney

Nov 14, 2026 · PARAMOUNT+

Combat Edge model forecast36%Jim Miller64%Terrance McKinneyFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 14, 2026

DivisionLightweight

StatusScheduled

VenueMadison Square Garden

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, November 14, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 1:00 PM
Your time

Jim MillerA-10 |39-19-0Jim Miller vs Terrance McKinneyTerrance McKinneyT.Wrecks |18-9-0

Jim MillerA-1039-19-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

39-19-0Record18-9-0

43Age32

5'8"Height5'10"

71"Reach73"

155 lbsWeight155 lbs

LightweightWeight ClassLightweight

Terrance McKinneyT.Wrecks18-9-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Jim Miller owns a 58-point Elo edge (good). Terrance McKinney shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Jim Miller and Terrance McKinney across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Jim MillerTerrance McKinney

Recent form

Jim MillerW L W L L · -9 Elo last 5

WLWLL

Terrance McKinneyL W L W W · +23 Elo last 5

LWLWW

Elo edge

Jim Miller1720+14 last move

Terrance McKinney1662-13 last move

Why they are ranked here

Jim Miller#53 of 459 active Lightweight fighters · 1720 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Donald Cerrone (rated 1724 at the time): +15.
Costliest loss: Lost to Alexander Hernandez (rated 1664 at the time): -14.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -9 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #52 Cristian Pérez, 2 ahead of #54 Alikhan Musaev.

Terrance McKinney#139 of 459 active Lightweight fighters · 1662 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Brendon Marotte (rated 1642 at the time): +20.
Costliest loss: Lost to Esteban Ribovics (rated 1712 at the time): -17.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +23 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #138 Enzo Sanchez, 1 ahead of #140 Alex da Silva.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

36%Jim Miller64%Terrance McKinney

Model favoriteTerrance McKinney

Elo baseline42% for Terrance McKinney

Matchup adjustment+22 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Terrance McKinneyStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Terrance McKinney is 64%, after Elo alone favored Jim Miller at 58%.

Current Elo ratings1720 · 1662Jim Miller leads by 58 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1680 · 1671Jim Miller faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth57 · 27 fightsJim Miller has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesJim Miller 1 · 3 Terrance McKinneyStrongest available gap: Takedown accuracy toward Jim Miller.

What's at stake

Jim MillerNow 1720 · #53 Lightweight

Wins by decision+10→ 1730

Loses by decision-14→ 1706

Terrance McKinneyNow 1662 · #139 Lightweight

Wins by decision+14→ 1676

Loses by decision-10→ 1652

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Jim MillervsTerrance McKinney

Takedown accuracy

36%vs0%

Sig. strikes landed per min

2.92vs6.83

Takedown average

1.49vs3.27

Takedown defense

48%vs73%

Finishing profile

Jim Millersubmission leads 56% of wins

Terrance McKinneyKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

Erick Gonzalez Jim Miller: win · KO (punch) · Oct 16, 2021 Terrance McKinney: win · Submission (Rear-naked choke) · Aug 6, 2022

Tale of the tape

Jim MillerTerrance McKinney

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.92Sig. strikes landed per min6.83

UFC lightweight average : 3.81

42Sig. strike accuracy56

UFC lightweight average : 46%

3.43Sig. strikes absorbed per min4.07

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

57Sig. strike defense43

UFC lightweight average : 53%

1.49Takedown average3.27

UFC lightweight average : 1.67

36Takedown accuracy0

UFC lightweight average : 28%

48Takedown defense73

UFC lightweight average : 58%

1.72Submission average1.82

UFC lightweight average : 0.55

7Wins by knockout9

22Wins by submission9

10Wins by decision0

2Losses by knockout6

3Losses by submission3

14Losses by decision0

Jim Miller vs Terrance McKinney is a scheduled Lightweight fight on UFC 334 : GANE VS HOKIT. Jim Miller enters with a 39-19-0 record and Terrance McKinney enters with a 18-9-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.