JJ Aldrich vs Maycee Barber
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record15-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
67"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Freedom FightersTeamTeam Alpha Male
What's at stake
Maycee Barber is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — JJ Aldrich carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1686
If they lose-13→ 1654
If they win+13→ 1735
If they lose-19→ 1703
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1610 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
JJ AldrichMaycee Barber
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Maycee Barber66%
JJ Aldrich 34%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Maycee Barber a 66% favorite over JJ Aldrich in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Maycee Barber holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1722 to 1667, a 55-point edge.
JJ Aldrich enters on a 2-fight win streak.
JJ Aldrich finishes 20% of wins inside the distance, Maycee Barber 53%.
JJ Aldrich and Maycee Barber share 2 common opponents: Andrea Lee and Montana De La Rosa.
JJ Aldrich carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.