JJ Aldrich vs Montana De La Rosa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record13-10-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
67"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Freedom FightersTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
JJ Aldrich is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Montana De La Rosa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1679
If they lose-20→ 1647
If they win+20→ 1591
If they lose-12→ 1559
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1630 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
JJ AldrichMontana De La Rosa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
JJ Aldrich61%
Montana De La Rosa 39%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes JJ Aldrich a 61% favorite over Montana De La Rosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
JJ Aldrich holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1667 to 1571, a 96-point edge.
JJ Aldrich enters on a 2-fight win streak.
JJ Aldrich finishes 20% of wins inside the distance, Montana De La Rosa 69%.
JJ Aldrich and Montana De La Rosa share 2 common opponents: Andrea Lee and Ariane Lipski da Silva.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.