JJ Aldrich vs Regina Tarin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record9-0-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
67"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Freedom FightersTeamBonebreakers MMA· 1626 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Regina Tarin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — JJ Aldrich carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1669
If they lose-14→ 1637
If they win+21→ 1720
If they lose-27→ 1672
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1619 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
JJ AldrichRegina Tarin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Regina Tarin68%
JJ Aldrich 32%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Regina Tarin a 68% favorite over JJ Aldrich in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Regina Tarin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1699 to 1651, a 48-point edge.
Regina Tarin enters on a 9-fight win streak.
JJ Aldrich finishes 20% of wins inside the distance, Regina Tarin 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.