Combat Edge Intelligence

JJ Aldrich vs Regina Tarin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-7-0Record8-0-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
67"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Freedom FightersTeamBonebreakers MMA· 1618 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

JJ AldrichNow 1667
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651
Regina TarinNow 1676
If they win+23→ 1699
If they lose-25→ 1651

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.92
Sig. strikes / min
7.60
46%
Strike accuracy
48%
4.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7
62%
Strike defense
58%
0.70
Takedown avg.
1
2%
Takedown accuracy
33%
68%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

JJ AldrichRegina Tarin
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (25%)
12 (80%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Regina Tarin60%
JJ Aldrich 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Regina Tarin a 60% favorite over JJ Aldrich in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1676), separated by just 9 points.

JJ Aldrich enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Regina Tarin enters on a 8-fight win streak.

JJ Aldrich finishes 20% of wins inside the distance, Regina Tarin 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.