Joshua Van vs Manel Kape
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-2-0Record23-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
65"Reach 68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
4oz. Fight Club· 1609 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamAKA Thailand
What's at stake
Joshua Van is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Manel Kape carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1830
If they lose-19→ 1798
If they win+19→ 1770
If they lose-13→ 1738
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1712 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1696 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joshua VanManel Kape
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Van58%
Manel Kape 42%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Van a 58% favorite over Manel Kape in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Joshua Van holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1817 to 1751, a 66-point edge.
Joshua Van enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Manel Kape enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Joshua Van finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Manel Kape 87%.
Joshua Van and Manel Kape share 2 common opponents: Brandon Royval and Bruno Silva.
Manel Kape carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.