Joshua Van vs Manel Kape

PARAMOUNT+

Pick'em vs the modelWho wins this fight?Make your pick

DateDate TBD

DivisionUFC Flyweight Championship

StatusScheduled

VenueScotiabank Arena

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Joshua VanThe Fearless |18-2-0Joshua Van vs Manel KapeManel KapeStarboy |23-7-0

Joshua VanThe Fearless18-2-0

Fight Overview

RoundR5

Time5:00

18-2-0Record23-7-0

25Age32

5'5"Height5'6"

65"Reach 68"

125 lbsWeight125 lbs

UFC Flyweight ChampionshipWeight ClassUFC Flyweight Championship

Manel KapeStarboy23-7-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Joshua Van owns a 66-point Elo edge (great). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Joshua Van and Manel Kape across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Joshua VanManel Kape

Recent form

Joshua VanW W W W W · +90 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Manel KapeW W W W L · +76 Elo last 5

WWWWL

Elo edge

Joshua Van1817+16 last move

Manel Kape1751+25 last move

Why they are ranked here

Joshua Van#1 of 228 active Flyweight fighters · 1817 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Alexandre Pantoja (rated 1827 at the time): +23.
Costliest loss: Lost to Charles Johnson (rated 1673 at the time): -21.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +90 Elo in total.
Next places: 3 ahead of #2 Kyoji Horiguchi.

Manel Kape#10 of 228 active Flyweight fighters · 1751 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Kyoji Horiguchi (rated 1833 at the time): +25.
Costliest loss: Lost to Muhammad Mokaev (rated 1765 at the time): -12.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +76 Elo in total.
Next places: 5 points behind #9 Rei Tsuruya, 6 ahead of #11 Tagir Ulanbekov.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Joshua VanNow 1817 · #1 Flyweight

Wins by decision+13→ 1830

Loses by decision-19→ 1798

Manel KapeNow 1751 · #10 Flyweight

Wins by decision+19→ 1770

Loses by decision-13→ 1738

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Joshua VanvsManel Kape

Takedown accuracy

0%vs20%

Sig. strikes landed per min

8.26vs4.68

Takedown average

0.70vs0.36

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

5.83vs3.88

Finishing profile

Joshua VanKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Manel KapeKO/TKO leads 65% of wins

Common opponents

Brandon Royval Joshua Van: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Jun 28, 2025 Manel Kape: win · KO (punches) · Dec 13, 2025

Brandon Royval Joshua Van: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Jun 28, 2025 Manel Kape: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Jun 28, 2025

Brandon Royval Joshua Van: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Jun 28, 2025Manel Kape: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Mar 1, 2025

Tale of the tape

Joshua VanManel Kape

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

8.26Sig. strikes landed per min4.68

UFC flyweight average : 3.94

58Sig. strike accuracy55

UFC flyweight average : 44%

5.83Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.88

UFC flyweight average : 3.85

57Sig. strike defense57

UFC flyweight average : 55%

0.70Takedown average0.36

UFC flyweight average : 1.46

0Takedown accuracy20

UFC flyweight average : 26%

75Takedown defense79

UFC flyweight average : 57%

0.26Submission average0.24

UFC flyweight average : 0.63

9Wins by knockout15

2Wins by submission5

7Wins by decision3

1Losses by knockout0

1Losses by submission2

0Losses by decision5

Joshua Van vs Manel Kape is a scheduled UFC Flyweight Championship fight on UFC 336 : VAN VS KAPE. Joshua Van enters with a 18-2-0 record and Manel Kape enters with a 23-7-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.