AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Junior Tafa vs Quentin Pasley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Junior Tafa
nz

Junior Tafa

“The Juggernaut”

7-6-0HeavyweightUFC

1564Solid

Tale of the tape

7-6-0Record4-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
75"Reach78"
249 lbsWeight205 lbs

What's at stake

Quentin Pasley is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Junior Tafa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Junior TafaNow 1564
If they win+18→ 1582
If they lose-14→ 1550
Quentin PasleyNow 1611
If they win+21→ 1632
If they lose-27→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.53
Sig. strikes / min
5.98
52%
Strike accuracy
62%
2.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.99
52%
Strike defense
39%
0
Takedown avg.
3.20
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
73%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Junior TafaQuentin Pasley
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (100%)
KO/TKO
4 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Junior Tafa and Quentin Pasley within a point of even.

Quentin Pasley holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1611 to 1564, a 47-point edge.

Quentin Pasley enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Junior Tafa finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Quentin Pasley 100%.

Quentin Pasley carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.