Kyle Driscoll vs Kyle Nelson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-0Record17-8-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReach 71"
155 lbsWeight149 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamHouse of Champions MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641
If they win+12→ 1669
If they lose-12→ 1645
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kyle DriscollKyle Nelson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kyle Nelson61%
Kyle Driscoll 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Nelson a 61% favorite over Kyle Driscoll in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kyle Driscoll's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1657 vs 1657), separated by just 0 points.
Kyle Driscoll enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Kyle Nelson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kyle Driscoll finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Nelson 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.