Lucia Szabová vs Tainara Lisboa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-0-0Record7-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
-Reach67"
136 lbsWeight134 lbs
What's at stake
Lucia Szabová is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Tainara Lisboa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1736
If they lose-22→ 1704
If they win+22→ 1610
If they lose-10→ 1578
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Lucia SzabováTainara Lisboa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lucia Szabová79%
Tainara Lisboa 21%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Lucia Szabová a 79% favorite over Tainara Lisboa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Lucia Szabová holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1726 to 1588, a 138-point edge.
Lucia Szabová enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Tainara Lisboa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Lucia Szabová finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Tainara Lisboa 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.