Lucia Szabová vs Tainara Lisboa

DateOct 31, 2026

DivisionWomen's Flyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueMeta APEX

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 31, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 8:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 5:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 12:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 1:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 11:00 AM
Your time

Lucia SzabováSilent Killer |12-0-0Lucia Szabová vs Tainara LisboaTainara LisboaThai Panther |7-4-0

Lucia SzabováSilent Killer12-0-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

12-0-0Record7-4-0

28Age35

5'7"Height5'7"

-Reach67"

136 lbsWeight134 lbs

Women's FlyweightWeight ClassWomen's Flyweight

Tainara LisboaThai Panther7-4-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Lucia Szabová owns a 138-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Lucia Szabová and Tainara Lisboa across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Lucia SzabováTainara Lisboa

Recent form

Lucia SzabováW W W W W · +70 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Tainara LisboaL L W W W · +29 Elo last 5

LLWWW

Elo edge

Lucia Szabová1726+10 last move

Tainara Lisboa1588-20 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

72%Lucia Szabová28%Tainara Lisboa

Model favoriteLucia Szabová

Elo baseline69% for Lucia Szabová

Matchup adjustment+3 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Lucia SzabováStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Lucia Szabová leads the full model at 72%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 3 points.

Current Elo ratings1726 · 1588Lucia Szabová leads by 138 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1519 · 1544Tainara Lisboa faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth12 · 11 fightsLucia Szabová has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Lucia SzabovávsTainara Lisboa

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Lucia Szabovásubmission leads 42% of wins

Tainara LisboaKO/TKO leads 43% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Lucia SzabováTainara Lisboa

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per min2.01

UFC bantamweight average : 3.72

Not availableSig. strike accuracy44

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per min2.88

UFC bantamweight average : 3.76

Not availableSig. strike defense46

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown average1.67

UFC bantamweight average : 1.51

Not availableTakedown accuracy5

UFC bantamweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defense53

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

Not availableSubmission average0.28

UFC bantamweight average : 0.51

4Wins by knockout3

5Wins by submission3

3Wins by decision1

0Losses by knockout1

0Losses by submission2

0Losses by decision1

Lucia Szabová vs Tainara Lisboa is a scheduled Women's Flyweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : MOICANO VS NOLAN. Lucia Szabová enters with a 12-0-0 record and Tainara Lisboa enters with a 7-4-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.