Lupita Godinez vs Tatiana Suarez
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Tatiana Suarez86%
Lupita Godinez 14%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Tatiana Suarez a 86% favorite over Lupita Godinez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Tatiana Suarez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1776 to 1682, a 94-point edge.
Tatiana Suarez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Lupita Godinez finishes 20% of wins inside the distance, Tatiana Suarez 62%.
Lupita Godinez and Tatiana Suarez share 2 common opponents: Jéssica Andrade and Virna Jandiroba.
Tatiana Suarez carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record13-1-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'5"
61"Reach66"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Lobo Gym MMA· 1725 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamMillennia MMA
What's at stake
Tatiana Suarez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Lupita Godinez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1702
If they lose-12→ 1670
If they win+12→ 1788
If they lose-20→ 1756
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Lupita GodinezTatiana Suarez