Mairon Santos vs Nathaniel Wood
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-1-0Record23-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'6"
72"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Parana Vale Tudo· 1663 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamGreat Britain Top Team
What's at stake
Mairon Santos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Nathaniel Wood carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1771
If they lose-17→ 1739
If they win+13→ 1746
If they lose-11→ 1722
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mairon SantosNathaniel Wood
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mairon Santos59%
Nathaniel Wood 41%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Mairon Santos a 59% favorite over Nathaniel Wood in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Mairon Santos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1756 to 1733, a 23-point edge.
Mairon Santos enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Nathaniel Wood enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Mairon Santos finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Nathaniel Wood 57%.
Mairon Santos and Nathaniel Wood share 1 common opponent: Muhammad Naimov.
Mairon Santos carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.