Combat Edge Intelligence

Marco Tulio vs Marco Tulio Silva Costa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marco Tulio
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Marco Tulio

“Matuto”

14-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1672Good

Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record11-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamTeam Paraiba

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marco TulioNow 1672
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
Marco Tulio Silva CostaNow 1676
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.69
Sig. strikes / min
4.42
59%
Strike accuracy
51%
2.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.78
60%
Strike defense
58%
1.42
Takedown avg.
1.33
27%
Takedown accuracy
20%
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0.35
Submission avg.
0.66

Trajectory

Marco TulioMarco Tulio Silva Costa
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
1 (7%)
Submission
1 (9%)
3 (21%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Marco Tulio and Marco Tulio Silva Costa within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1676), separated by just 4 points.

Marco Tulio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marco Tulio finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Marco Tulio Silva Costa 73%.

Marco Tulio and Marco Tulio Silva Costa share 7 common opponents: Roman Kopylov, Ihor Potieria, Cemey dos Santos and Yousri Belgaroui, among 7 in total.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (7)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2026
Roman Kopylov
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2026
WinTKO · 2025
Ihor Potieria
WinTKO (punches) · 2025
WinKO (Punches) · 2024
Cemey dos Santos
Win Straight Right & Follow Up Punches · 2024
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2023
Yousri Belgaroui
Win Decision · 2023
WinTKO (Punches) · 2023
Well Oliveira
Win Punches · 2023
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2022
Pedro Oliveira
Win Decision · 2022
WinTKO · 2022
Carlos Alberto Silva
Win KO/TKO · 2022