Marco Tulio vs Marvin Vettori
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record19-11-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
If they win+12→ 1688
If they lose-12→ 1664
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marco TulioMarvin Vettori
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marvin Vettori64%
Marco Tulio 36%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Marvin Vettori a 64% favorite over Marco Tulio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1676), separated by just 4 points.
Marco Tulio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marvin Vettori enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Marco Tulio finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Marvin Vettori 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.