Marco Tulio vs Michel Pereira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record32-15-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
74"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamOvercome Academy
What's at stake
Michel Pereira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Marco Tulio carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1689
If they lose-15→ 1657
If they win+11→ 1703
If they lose-13→ 1679
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marco TulioMichel Pereira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Marco Tulio and Michel Pereira within a point of even.
Michel Pereira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1672, a 20-point edge.
Marco Tulio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marco Tulio finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Michel Pereira 63%.
Marco Tulio and Michel Pereira share 1 common opponent: Ihor Potieria.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.