Combat Edge Intelligence

Marwan Rahiki vs Tommy McMillen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-0-0Record10-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72"Reach74"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Lions Den AcademyTeamRed Hawk Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marwan RahikiNow 1703
If they win+24→ 1727
If they lose-24→ 1679
Tommy McMillenNow 1703
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1687

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.73
Sig. strikes / min
9.87
52%
Strike accuracy
53%
6.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.54
56%
Strike defense
58%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
100%
Takedown defense
83%
0.87
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Marwan RahikiTommy McMillen
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (89%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
1 (11%)
Submission
5 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Marwan Rahiki and Tommy McMillen within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1703 vs 1703), separated by just 0 points.

Marwan Rahiki enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Tommy McMillen enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Marwan Rahiki finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tommy McMillen 90%.

Tommy McMillen carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.