Misha Cirkunov vs Volkan Oezdemir
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-9-0Record21-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
77"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamFight Move Academy
What's at stake
Volkan Oezdemir is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Misha Cirkunov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1688
If they lose-14→ 1656
If they win+14→ 1733
If they lose-18→ 1701
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Misha CirkunovVolkan Oezdemir
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Volkan Oezdemir72%
Misha Cirkunov 28%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Volkan Oezdemir a 72% favorite over Misha Cirkunov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Volkan Oezdemir holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1719 to 1670, a 49-point edge.
Misha Cirkunov enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Misha Cirkunov finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Volkan Oezdemir 76%.
Misha Cirkunov and Volkan Oezdemir share 3 common opponents: Alonzo Menifield, Johnny Walker and Nikita Krylov.
Misha Cirkunov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.