Combat Edge Intelligence

Montana De La Rosa vs Tatiana Suarez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-9-1Record12-1-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'5"
68"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamMillennia MMA

What's at stake

Tatiana Suarez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Montana De La Rosa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Montana De La RosaNow 1582
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-8→ 1574
Tatiana SuarezNow 1760
If they win+8→ 1768
If they lose-24→ 1736

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1629 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.90
Sig. strikes / min
2.95
37%
Strike accuracy
61%
3.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.58
45%
Strike defense
45%
1.85
Takedown avg.
4.41
33%
Takedown accuracy
44%
68%
Takedown defense
80%
0.82
Submission avg.
0.57

Trajectory

Montana De La RosaTatiana Suarez
155016001650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
8 (62%)
Submission
6 (50%)
4 (31%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Tatiana Suarez88%
Montana De La Rosa 12%Elo baseline: 74%

The Combat Edge model makes Tatiana Suarez a 88% favorite over Montana De La Rosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).

Tatiana Suarez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1760 to 1582, a 178-point edge.

Tatiana Suarez enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Montana De La Rosa finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Tatiana Suarez 67%.

Montana De La Rosa carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.