Combat Edge Intelligence

Nathaniel Wood vs Pavel Andrusca

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-6-0Record8-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
69"Reach66"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeam

What's at stake

Nathaniel Wood is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Pavel Andrusca carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Nathaniel WoodNow 1733
If they win+10→ 1743
If they lose-14→ 1719
Pavel AndruscaNow 1684
If they win+27→ 1711
If they lose-21→ 1663

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1678 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.64
Sig. strikes / min
0
51%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.25
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
1.35
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
73%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.47
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Nathaniel WoodPavel Andrusca
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (35%)
KO/TKO
6 (75%)
5 (22%)
Submission
1 (13%)
10 (43%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Nathaniel Wood78%
Pavel Andrusca 22%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Nathaniel Wood a 78% favorite over Pavel Andrusca in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Nathaniel Wood holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1733 to 1684, a 49-point edge.

Nathaniel Wood enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Pavel Andrusca enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Nathaniel Wood finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Pavel Andrusca 88%.

Nathaniel Wood carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.