UFC FIGHT NIGHT : HOOKER VS PARNASSE

Nathaniel Wood vs Pavel Andrusca

EventUFC FIGHT NIGHT : HOOKER VS PARNASSE
DateSep 5, 2026
StatusScheduled
VenueAccor Arena
BroadcastPARAMOUNT+
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, September 5, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET)
Sat 3:00 PM
US West (PT)
Sat 12:00 PM
United Kingdom
Sat 8:00 PM
Central Europe
Sat 9:00 PM
Australia (Sydney)
Sun 5:00 AM

Nathaniel Wood vs Pavel Andrusca is a scheduled Featherweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : HOOKER VS PARNASSE. Nathaniel Wood enters with a 23-6-0 record and Pavel Andrusca enters with a 8-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Nathaniel Wood vs Pavel Andrusca quick answers

When is Nathaniel Wood vs Pavel Andrusca?

Nathaniel Wood vs Pavel Andrusca is listed for UFC FIGHT NIGHT : HOOKER VS PARNASSE on Sep 5, 2026 at 3:00 PM EST.

What event is Nathaniel Wood vs Pavel Andrusca on?

Nathaniel Wood vs Pavel Andrusca is listed on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : HOOKER VS PARNASSE.

What are the records for Nathaniel Wood vs Pavel Andrusca?

Nathaniel Wood enters with a 23-6-0 record and Pavel Andrusca enters with a 8-0-0 record.

What division is Nathaniel Wood vs Pavel Andrusca?

Nathaniel Wood vs Pavel Andrusca is listed as a Featherweight fight.

Nathaniel WoodThe Prospect |23-6-0Nathaniel Wood vs Pavel AndruscaPavel Andrusca8-0-0
gb-engNathaniel WoodThe Prospect23-6-0Nathaniel Woodgb-eng

Fight Overview

Round3
Time5:00
23-6-0Record8-0-0
33Age24
5'6"Height5'6"
69"Reach-
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
FeatherweightWeight ClassFeatherweight
mdPavel Andrusca8-0-0mdPavel Andrusca
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Nathaniel Wood owns a 49-point Elo edge (good). Nathaniel Wood shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Nathaniel Wood and Pavel Andrusca across their careers →

Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Nathaniel WoodPavel Andrusca
1600165017001750202420252026

Recent form

Nathaniel WoodW W W W L · +27 Elo last 5
WWWWL
Pavel AndruscaW W W W W · +109 Elo last 5
WWWWW

Elo edge

Nathaniel Wood1733+11 last move
Pavel Andrusca1684+29 last move
Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28
73%Nathaniel Wood27%Pavel Andrusca
Model favoriteNathaniel Wood
Elo baseline57% for Nathaniel Wood
Matchup adjustment+16 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

Sponsored — betting partner link. 19+ (18+ where permitted). Please play responsibly.

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Nathaniel Wood leads the full model at 73%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 16 points.

Current Elo ratings1733 · 1684Nathaniel Wood leads by 49 rating points.
Recent opponent quality1678 · 1518Nathaniel Wood faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 8 sampled fights).
Elo record depth28 · 8 fightsNathaniel Wood has the deeper counted Elo history.
Largest tracked stat edgesNathaniel Wood 3 · 1 Pavel AndruscaStrongest available gap: Sig. strikes landed per min toward Nathaniel Wood.

Stat advantages

Nathaniel WoodvsPavel Andrusca
Sig. strikes landed per min
5.64vs0
Sig. strike accuracy
51%vs0%
Sig. strikes absorbed per min
4.25vs0
Sig. strike defense
54%vs0%

Finishing profile

Nathaniel Wooddecision leads 43% of wins
Pavel AndruscaKO/TKO leads 75% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Nathaniel WoodPavel Andrusca
5.64Sig. strikes landed per min0
UFC featherweight average : 3.97
51Sig. strike accuracy0
UFC featherweight average : 47%
4.25Sig. strikes absorbed per min0
UFC featherweight average : 3.85
54Sig. strike defense0
UFC featherweight average : 54%
1.35Takedown average0
UFC featherweight average : 1.56
0Takedown accuracy0
UFC featherweight average : 31%
73Takedown defense0
UFC featherweight average : 55%
0.47Submission average0
UFC featherweight average : 0.62
8Wins by knockout6
5Wins by submission1
10Wins by decision1
2Losses by knockout0
2Losses by submission0
2Losses by decision0

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