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Combat Edge Intelligence

Piera Rodriguez vs Talita Alencar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record8-1-1
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'1"
63"Reach58"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs

What's at stake

Piera Rodriguez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Talita Alencar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Piera RodriguezNow 1705
If they win+14→ 1719
If they lose-18→ 1687
Talita AlencarNow 1668
If they win+18→ 1686
If they lose-14→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.54
Sig. strikes / min
2.91
47%
Strike accuracy
38%
2.81
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.36
56%
Strike defense
56%
4.53
Takedown avg.
3.02
55%
Takedown accuracy
27%
73%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Piera RodriguezTalita Alencar
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (50%)
7 (58%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Piera Rodriguez67%
Talita Alencar 33%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Piera Rodriguez a 67% favorite over Talita Alencar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Piera Rodriguez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1705 to 1668, a 37-point edge.

Piera Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Talita Alencar enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Piera Rodriguez finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Talita Alencar 50%.

Piera Rodriguez and Talita Alencar share 1 common opponent: Ariane Carnelossi.

Piera Rodriguez carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDQ · 2024
Ariane Carnelossi
WinSubmission · 2025