Regina Tarin vs Rose Namajunas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-0-0Record14-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
66"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Bonebreakers MMA· 1626 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeam303 Training Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1723
If they lose-24→ 1675
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Regina TarinRose Namajunas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rose Namajunas58%
Regina Tarin 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rose Namajunas a 58% favorite over Regina Tarin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Regina Tarin's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1699 vs 1696), separated by just 3 points.
Regina Tarin enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Regina Tarin finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Rose Namajunas 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.