Combat Edge Intelligence

Roosevelt Roberts vs Vinc Pichel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Vinc Pichel
us

Vinc Pichel

“From Hell”

14-5-0LightweightUFC

1650Good

Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record14-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
73"Reach72"
158 lbsWeight155 lbs
Adrenaline Martial ArtsTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Roosevelt RobertsNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
Vinc PichelNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1685 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.84
Sig. strikes / min
3.62
44%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
53%
Strike defense
56%
1.18
Takedown avg.
2.78
27%
Takedown accuracy
54%
50%
Takedown defense
25%
0.74
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Roosevelt RobertsVinc Pichel
165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
5 (42%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (25%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Roosevelt Roberts60%
Vinc Pichel 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Roosevelt Roberts a 60% favorite over Vinc Pichel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vinc Pichel's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1650), separated by just 10 points.

Roosevelt Roberts enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Vinc Pichel enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Roosevelt Roberts finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Vinc Pichel 57%.

Roosevelt Roberts and Vinc Pichel share 1 common opponent: Jim Miller.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossSubmission · 2020
Jim Miller
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2020