Combat Edge Intelligence

Seung Guk Choi vs Tim Elliott

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record21-14-1
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
64"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Seung Guk ChoiNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
Tim ElliottNow 1645
If they win+12→ 1657
If they lose-12→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.69
Sig. strikes / min
3.51
43%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.69
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3
66%
Strike defense
56%
1.02
Takedown avg.
3.61
28%
Takedown accuracy
25%
74%
Takedown defense
59%
0
Submission avg.
1.06

Trajectory

Seung Guk ChoiTim Elliott
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
3 (14%)
0 (0%)
Submission
8 (38%)
6 (67%)
Decision
10 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Tim Elliott53%
Seung Guk Choi 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tim Elliott a 53% favorite over Seung Guk Choi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Seung Guk Choi's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1645), separated by just 1 points.

Seung Guk Choi enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Seung Guk Choi finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Tim Elliott 52%.

Tim Elliott carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.