Shane Burgos vs Youssef Zalal
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record18-6-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'10"
75"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Tiger SchulmannTeamFactory X
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1749
If they lose-16→ 1717
If they win+12→ 1747
If they lose-12→ 1723
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1703 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Shane BurgosYoussef Zalal
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Youssef Zalal66%
Shane Burgos 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Youssef Zalal a 66% favorite over Shane Burgos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1733 vs 1735), separated by just 2 points.
Shane Burgos finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Youssef Zalal 78%.
Shane Burgos and Youssef Zalal share 2 common opponents: Billy Quarantillo and Josh Emmett.
Shane Burgos carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.