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ONE Fight Night 48 Bangkok: Erdogan vs Elliott

Main eventShamil Erdogan def. Paul Elliottby Submission · 8 results recordedFull result →
DateFriday, October 2, 2026Start 9:00 PM EDT
VenueLumpinee StadiumBangkok, Thailand
BroadcastAmazon PrimeHow to watch
Join the discussionPredictions & oddsOfficial ONE event ↗
Fight resultsComplete8 of 8 outcomes recordedView resultsHide results

Results appear as they are recorded; confirmation may be delayed. Each result shows what it does to both ratings: projected at first, then the published change once the rankings have counted the bout.

Latest result observation: . Observation times may follow the bout.

  1. Shamil Erdogan vs Paul ElliottShamil Erdogan def. Paul Elliott by Submission · Round 2 · 2:28Elo: Shamil Erdogan +12 to 1755 · Paul Elliott −19 to 1597
  2. Nakrob Fairtex vs Parham GheiratiParham Gheirati def. Nakrob Fairtex by Decision (Unanimous) · Round 3 · 3:00
  3. Joshua Perreira vs Antônio CésarAntônio César def. Joshua Perreira by TKO · Round 1 · 5:00Elo: Joshua Perreira −24 to 1614 · Antônio César +16 to 1717
  4. Luke Lessei vs Charlie GuestLuke Lessei def. Charlie Guest by Decision (Unanimous) · Round 3 · 3:00
  5. Yuxuan Yi vs Elbrus OsmanovElbrus Osmanov def. Yuxuan Yi by Decision (Split) · Round 3 · 3:00
  6. Shoya Ishiguro vs Ruan AlvarengaRuan Alvarenga def. Shoya Ishiguro by Decision (Split) · Round 1 · 10:00
  7. Yau Pui Yu vs Marie McManamonYau Pui Yu def. Marie McManamon by Decision (Unanimous) · Round 3 · 3:00
  8. Arian Esparza vs Samuel FitzgeraldArian Esparza def. Samuel Fitzgerald by KO · Round 1 · 2:35

Recorded results remain available on this page.

Recorded results vs forecast

How the card compared with expectations

Elo +1 vs model
Combat Edge model4-450% accuracy
Elo-only baseline5-363% accuracy
Biggest model surpriseParham Gheirati wonThe frozen model gave the winner 46% against Nakrob Fairtex.

On 3 split calls, the model led 1-2.

See all 8 graded bouts
Model hitShamil Erdogan vs Paul ElliottPicked Shamil Erdogan · 69%Winner: Shamil Erdogan · Elo hitModel missNakrob Fairtex vs Parham GheiratiPicked Nakrob Fairtex · 54%Winner: Parham Gheirati · Elo missModel hitJoshua Perreira vs Antônio CésarPicked Antônio César · 68%Winner: Antônio César · Elo hitModel missLuke Lessei vs Charlie GuestPicked Charlie Guest · 51%Winner: Luke Lessei · Elo hitModel hitYuxuan Yi vs Elbrus OsmanovPicked Elbrus Osmanov · 51%Winner: Elbrus Osmanov · Elo missModel missShoya Ishiguro vs Ruan AlvarengaPicked Shoya Ishiguro · 51%Winner: Ruan Alvarenga · Elo missModel hitYau Pui Yu vs Marie McManamonPicked Yau Pui Yu · 51%Winner: Yau Pui Yu · Elo hitModel missArian Esparza vs Samuel FitzgeraldPicked Samuel Fitzgerald · 50%Winner: Arian Esparza · Elo hit

Main card

Shamil Erdogan
Elo1755Great
3Y trend1710 → 1755
2024-09-06: 17102025-02-20: 17222025-03-07: 17312025-11-15: 17432026-10-02: 1755
WinnertrShamil Erdogan13-0-0HeavyweightVSFight details →Losergb-engPaul Elliott8-3-0Paul Elliott
Elo1597Solid
3Y trend1537 → 1597
2024-04-13: 15372024-09-21: 15632025-04-04: 15952026-06-26: 16162026-10-02: 1597
Joshua Perreira
Elo1614Solid
3Y trend1578 → 1614
2023-10-07: 15782024-03-29: 15992024-10-05: 16202026-04-10: 16382026-10-02: 1614
LoserusJoshua PerreiraFlyin Hawaiian6-1-0FlyweightVSFight details →WinnerbrAntônio CésarThe Flash15-2-0Antônio César
Elo1717Good
3Y trend1610 → 1717
2024-04-13: 16102024-05-25: 16272024-07-06: 16472024-11-15: 16572025-07-30: 16682026-03-27: 16792026-04-25: 16872026-07-17: 17012026-10-02: 1717
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Event command center

Card at a glance

All 8 recorded outcomes are in

Complete
Frozen model coverage8/8 boutsEvery tracked bout has a pre-fight model snapshot.
Model vs Elo0 disagreements2 of 2 comparable forecasts pick the same side as Elo alone.
Review results and Elo movement

Event status

Complete

Event progress

All 8 recorded outcomes are in. Final fight details and published Elo changes stay together here.

  1. AnnouncementDoneDate and location tracked
  2. Fight cardDone8 bouts tracked
  3. ResultsDone8 of 8 outcomes recorded
  4. Elo movementPublished2 bouts matched to the published snapshot
View predictions & modelHow Combat Edge Elo works

Published rating impact

Elo movement from this event

2 matched bouts

ONE Fight Night 48 Bangkok: Erdogan vs Elliott is a completed combat sports event scheduled for Friday, October 2, 2026 at Lumpinee Stadium in Bangkok, Thailand. The fight card includes 8 tracked fights, led by Shamil Erdogan vs Paul Elliott, with bout links, fighter profiles, results, and Combat Edge stats. Main event result: Shamil Erdogan def. Paul Elliott by Submission.

ONE Fight Night 48 Bangkok: Erdogan vs Elliott quick answers

When is ONE Fight Night 48 Bangkok: Erdogan vs Elliott?

ONE Fight Night 48 Bangkok: Erdogan vs Elliott is scheduled for Friday, October 2, 2026. Start 9:00 PM EDT.

Where is ONE Fight Night 48 Bangkok: Erdogan vs Elliott?

ONE Fight Night 48 Bangkok: Erdogan vs Elliott is listed for Lumpinee Stadium in Bangkok, Thailand.

What is the main event for ONE Fight Night 48 Bangkok: Erdogan vs Elliott?

The main event listed for ONE Fight Night 48 Bangkok: Erdogan vs Elliott is Shamil Erdogan vs Paul Elliott.

How many fights are on ONE Fight Night 48 Bangkok: Erdogan vs Elliott?

Combat Edge currently tracks 8 fights for ONE Fight Night 48 Bangkok: Erdogan vs Elliott.

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Event discussion

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