Shamil Erdogan13-0-0
Paul Elliott8-3-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Shamil Erdogan won
69%Shamil Erdogan31%Paul Elliott
Combat Edge Model · Full card
ONE Fight Night 48 Bangkok: Erdogan vs Elliott predictions
Model win probabilities for every bout on ONE Fight Night 48 Bangkok: Erdogan vs Elliott (October 2, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
8Total bouts
8Frozen forecasts
6Close matchups
0Model / Elo splits
0Strong model leans
LockedFight card started
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Main card
Main card predictions
8 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Nakrob Fairtex0-0-0
Parham Gheirati0-0-0
Close matchup50/50 baselineModel miss · Parham Gheirati won
54%Nakrob Fairtex46%Parham Gheirati
Joshua Perreira6-1-0
Antônio César15-2-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Antônio César won
32%Joshua Perreira68%Antônio César
Luke Lessei0-0-0
Charlie Guest0-0-0
Close matchup50/50 baselineModel miss · Luke Lessei won
49.4%Luke Lessei50.6%Charlie Guest
Yuxuan Yi0-0-0
Elbrus Osmanov0-0-0
Close matchup50/50 baselineModel hit · Elbrus Osmanov won
49.2%Yuxuan Yi50.8%Elbrus Osmanov
Shoya Ishiguro0-0-0
Ruan Alvarenga0-0-0
Close matchup50/50 baselineModel miss · Ruan Alvarenga won
52%Shoya Ishiguro49%Ruan Alvarenga
Yau Pui Yu0-0-0
Marie McManamon0-0-0
Close matchup50/50 baselineModel hit · Yau Pui Yu won
50.7%Yau Pui Yu49.3%Marie McManamon
Arian Esparza0-0-0
Samuel Fitzgerald0-0-0
Close matchup50/50 baselineModel miss · Arian Esparza won
49.6%Arian Esparza50.4%Samuel Fitzgerald